Here's what the form guide predicts for the Ekiden teams. A '*' means there was insufficient data to predict and so the values are best guess.
Distance | Vet1 | Time |
5 | Fab | 00:18:35 |
10 | Vincent * | 0:37:44 |
5 | Bruno B | 00:18:38 |
10 | Thiery Maz | 0:37:44 |
5 | Charles | 00:18:53 |
7.195 | James | 00:26:28 |
Total | 02:38:02 |
Distance | SH1 | Time | |
5 | Mohamed Y * | 00:16:53 | |
10 | Anis | 00:34:37 | |
5 | Nico | 00:17:39 | |
10 | Mohamed S | 0:32:44 | |
5 | Jérémie | 00:16:53 | |
7.195 | Eric | 00:24:30 | |
Total | 02:23:16 | ||
Actual Time = 02:23:57
Distance | SH2 | Time |
5 | Gerald | 00:18:04 |
10 | Robin | 00:38:28 |
5 | Simon | 00:18:50 |
10 | Fred * | 00:38:28 |
5 | Nick B | 00:18:47 |
7.195 | Romain | 00:25:10 |
Total | 2:37:47 |
Actual Time = 02:39:11
Distance | SF1 | Time |
5 | Nadia | 00:22:12 |
10 | Françoise | 00:43:23 |
5 | Catherine | 00:21:48 |
10 | Mirelle | 00:36:19 |
5 | Aude | 00:21:43 |
7.195 | Delphine | 00:32:05 |
Total | 2:57:30 |
Actual Time = 02:59:13
Distance | VH2 | Time |
5 | Daniel | 00:20:48 |
10 | Adrian | 00:42:04 |
5 | Patrick | 00:19:48 |
10 | Alex | 00:40:22 |
5 | Gerard | 00:20:11 |
7.195 | Frank | 00:30:16 |
Total | 2:53:29 |
All the predictions were within 1% of the final total times. I'm quite pleased with this as the chances of everyone running at their current form level is not great.
ReplyDeletePretty impressed too with the accuracy of the predictions. Congrats to the VH2 team who managed to beat the predicted time. Do you have the actual splits for each team to compare who went better or worse than predicted ?
ReplyDeleteThe actual splits are athttp://www.fouleesdesaintgermainenlaye.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=618:15052011-ekiden-du-paac&catid=3:dernieres-annonces
ReplyDeleteMost are fairly close but any errors generally even themselves out.